{"id":23636,"date":"2026-10-08T09:37:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T09:37:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news678.top\/?p=23636"},"modified":"2026-10-08T09:37:43","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T09:37:43","slug":"ai-breakthroughs-in-robotics-wont-change-your-life-any-time-soon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news678.top\/?p=23636","title":{"rendered":"AI breakthroughs in robotics won’t change your life any time soon"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The company claims that the model exhibits the first signs of compositional generalization, a term for AI systems\u2019 ability to perform skills they\u2019ve never been exposed to by recombining ones learned in their training data. One test involved asking a model to \u201cload a sweet potato into the air fryer\u201d\u2014a task it had never previously encountered. In a demonstration video, the machine futzes around a little, makes a few false starts, and eventually manages a reasonable effort, though it doesn\u2019t finish the task completely. <\/p>\n
Sergey Levine, a professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and a cofounder of PI, is excited by the potential: \u201cIt\u2019s actually the first time that we\u2019ve convincingly seen that kind of compositional generalization, where we can basically ask the model to do tasks that we did not specifically collect data for and train it to do, and it\u2019ll actually make a passable attempt.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n
The success led the team to wonder how the model was able to achieve such a feat. After some digging, they found snippets of relevant labeled teleoperation data lurking in the training material, including two examples of a human controller using the robot to push an air fryer basket into the fryer. Those shreds of data might have been enough to enable \u03c00.7 to almost air-fry a sweet potato.<\/p>\n
For now, it remains unclear just how impressive \u03c00.7\u2019s abilities to generalize are. Still, given how fleeting the model\u2019s exposure to air fryers had been, it offers a glimpse into how far cutting-edge research can currently take robots.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201c70% success is like it doesn\u2019t work\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n
You might be sensing a disconnect between the halting baby steps robots are making in labs\u2014\u201cLook! It put a sweet potato into an air fryer!\u201d\u2014and the dazzling, lifelike nimbleness on view during many demonstrations and videos, where robots are seen doing everything from dancing on a stage to courteously serving drinks. Such demos often don\u2019t clearly reveal a key fact: In many instances, humans are controlling the robot or have carefully scripted its actions. (The robot that appeared onstage with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang in March 2025, for example, seemingly responding to his instructions and following him around, was remote-controlled by what its makers called \u201ca puppeteer behind the scenes.\u201d)\u00a0<\/p>\n
For now, fully autonomous motion planning so that a robot knows where it should go\u2014especially in new, chaotic environments like a construction site or a unfamiliar home\u2014remains a largely unsolved challenge. A bigger challenge still\u2014albeit one that is often related\u2014lies in getting robots to tackle larger, more ambiguous jobs that include multiple tasks and require decisions about how and in what order they\u2019re done. This would be the difference between a robot that can put a plate into a microwave and one that can successfully respond to the prompt \u201cMake dinner\u201d by exploring the refrigerator, chopping ingredients, and firing up the stove. Google DeepMind\u2019s best attempts at something like this\u2014which involved asking its robot to survey a kitchen and pack all the ingredients for a mushroom risotto into a basket\u2014have so far resulted in failure.<\/p>\n
Adding to the challenge, a practical robot must essentially get it right every time. With VLAs, \u201cpeople are very excited when their result goes from 50% success to 70% success,\u201d says Marc Raibert, founder of Boston Dynamics. \u201cBut 70% success is like it doesn\u2019t work, right?\u201d<\/p>\n
\nDemonstrations often make robots look useful, but the machines still mess up far too often to be used reliably in homes and factories.<\/figcaption>
AP IMAGES, SHUTTERSTOCK, 1X, AGILITY ROBOTICS, GOOGLE DEEPMIND<\/p>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n
The few humanoids that are being tested in real-life settings are undertaking extremely limited tasks in tightly controlled environments. They\u2019re far from generalists. Agility has hundreds of robots deployed across trials in facilities owned by GXO Logistics, Amazon, and Schaeffler, according to the company. But for now, Hurst says, the robots are targeting simple tasks such as moving bins and totes around. Even then, he adds, it took years to develop robots safe enough for logistics firms to even contemplate using them. For his part, Elon Musk claimed in May 2025 that \u201cthousands\u201d of his Optimus robots would be working at Tesla factories by the end of the year, but in January of this year he said that the company had only \u201csome of the Tesla Optimus robots doing simple tasks in the factory.\u201d<\/p>\n
While humanoids are starting to venture onto the factory floor, making the jump to households will be even more difficult. Right now, should you so desire, you can preorder the 1X Neo home robot, expected to be ready for delivery sometime later this year. Yours for $20,000, it promises to take on \u201cthe boring and mundane tasks around the house\u201d\u2014putting away dishes, answering the door, tidying the living room\u2014\u201cso you can focus on what matters to you.\u201d The idea is for this five-foot-six-inch robot to one day perform all those tasks autonomously, but for now a remote human operator is needed for it to do most things. (Yes, a person would need permission to peer into your home through the robot\u2019s cameras.) Asked how long it will be until fully autonomous robots are ready for domestic work, Hurst said, \u201cIf I had to pick a number, I\u2019d say it\u2019s 10 years before robots are \u2026 actually doing useful things in people\u2019s homes.\u201d<\/p>\n
When that happens, the robots might well be Chinese, as China is well ahead of the West in terms of production. Nearly 90% of the roughly 15,000 humanoid robots shipped in 2025 were made by Chinese companies, according to the market intelligence company Omdia and the Chinese robotics firm Unitree. One model produced by Unitree, which shipped more humanoid robots than any other company last year, costs less than $6,000. Such an affordable price could go a long way toward making robots more attractive to consumers, though the company expects its machines to be used in industrial applications first. (If you\u2019re wondering who is buying all these Chinese robots, by the way, the AP recently reported that orders come predominantly from corporate and academic labs and state-owned enterprises.)<\/p>\n
We\u2019ve been here before\u00a0<\/strong><\/h3>\n
The dream of building a humanoid robot runs deep: As far back as 1495, Leonardo da Vinci sketched out designs for a mechanical knight, controlled by cables and pulleys. Through the 20th century, machines of sci-fi fever dreams have come and gone.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\nWestinghouse\u2019s Elektro was a sensation at the 1939 World Fair. <\/figcaption>
GETTY IMAGES<\/p>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n
Westinghouse\u2019s seven-foot-tall box on legs, Elektro, hit the New York World\u2019s Fair in 1939, smoking a cigarette. WABOT-1, built by Waseda University in Japan in 1973, was the first full-scale, programmable humanoid robot. Honda\u2019s ASIMO, unveiled in 2000, was probably the first such machine to prove at all competent\u2014it could, at least to some degree, climb steps, recognize faces, and autonomously move through spaces. But the robot was discontinued in 2018, unable to advance far enough beyond what it could do in demonstrations to be useful.\u00a0<\/p>\n
All, at the time, were impressive\u2014even jaw-dropping\u2014feats of engineering. But none were ready to navigate the real world. Today\u2019s robots, even with the transformative power of advanced AI, still face the same existential challenge.
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